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UK rate futures switch bets to half-point BoE rate rise


UK rate futures switch bets to half-point BoE rate rise By Reuters

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Economy 5 minutes ago (Sep 16, 2022 15:01)

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pedestrians walk past the Bank of England, in London, Britain, August 8, 2022. REUTERS/Toby Melville

LONDON (Reuters) – Investors in interest rate futures switched their bets on Friday to narrowly favour a half-point interest rate rise by the Bank of England next week, having earlier this month seen a more than 80% chance that it would raise rates by 75 basis points.

At 1335 GMT, rate futures showed a 51% chance of rates rising to 2.25%, and a 49% chance of an increase of a rise to 2.5% when the BoE announces its next Monetary Policy Committee decision on Sept. 22.

Earlier on Friday, official figures showed a much sharper than expected fall in retail sales for August, increasing the chances that future gross domestic product data will show Britain is already in a recession.

Economists polled by Reuters forecast on average a 50 basis point rate rise.

UK rate futures switch bets to half-point BoE rate rise

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