Latest News

South Korea’s economy likely lost some steam in Q3, cooling China a worry: Reuters poll

Economy51 minutes ago (Oct 22, 2021 01:45)

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A truck drives between shipping containers at a container terminal at Incheon port in Incheon, South Korea, May 26, 2016.REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY/File Photo

By Vivek Mishra

BENGALURU (Reuters) – South Korea’s economic growth likely slowed a bit in the third quarter as robust exports were partially offset by subdued domestic demand due to the spread of the Delta coronavirus variant, a Reuters poll found.

Asia’s fourth-largest economy is expected to have expanded by a seasonally-adjusted 0.6% in the third quarter from the previous three-month period, according to the median forecast of 12 economists, after growing 0.8% in April-June.

On a year-on-year basis, gross domestic product (GDP) likely expanded 4.2%, down sharply from the second quarter’s 6.0% pace, which was the fastest in a decade. The data will be released on Oct. 26.

“Domestic exports and facility investment continued to support growth, while private consumption has been somewhat sluggish in the third quarter due to the re-spread of COVID-19 in Korea,” said Chun Kyu-yeon, an economist at Hana Financial Investment in Seoul.

“Although a recovery from global supply disruptions is being delayed and risks related to the Chinese economy persist, consumption is expected to improve thanks to government policy support and the transition to the phase where we live with coronavirus.”

Still, the South Korean economy is expected to lose momentum next year amid waning pandemic-related stimulus and the economic slowdown in China, the country’s largest trade and investment partner.

“It is quite worrying what is happening in China and it is clearly a big downside risk. The preliminary risk is limited for now but we have to wait and see,” said Stephen Lee, chief economist at Meritz Securities in Seoul.

Growth is forecast to average 4.0% this year, a sharp rebound after the economy shrank 1.0% last year, its first contraction in over two decades, according to a separate Reuters poll published earlier this month. But growth was expected to ease to 3.0% next year and then to 2.6% in 2023.

South Korean exports grew strongly in October, soaring 36.1% from a year earlier. Exports to China, the United States and European Union rose 30.9%, 37.1% and 42.1%, respectively, during the period.

Those trade figures will be closely watched by the Bank of Korea ahead of a widely-expected interest rate hike to 1.0% at its next meeting on Nov. 25.

“The strength of the external sector adds weight to our view that the economy will expand faster, and the central bank will tighten more quickly,” said Alex Holmes, Asia economist at Capital Economics in Singapore.

South Korea’s economy likely lost some steam in Q3, cooling China a worry: Reuters poll

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

UK employers tell Johnson to ‘get serious’ about tax and investment

Previous article

ECB to raise rates in 2024, but risk remains of earlier hike: Reuters poll

Next article

You may also like


Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published.

More in Latest News